Tag: war

  • Russia’s Expanding Patriotic Education System: Indicators of Long-Term Mobilization

    This analysis was prompted by recent reporting from Matthew Luxmoore at the Wall Street Journal, which highlighted how deeply military content has been integrated into Russian schools. I reviewed additional reporting, open-source research, Russian government documents, and independent analyses to understand the broader context.

    Overview

    Recent reporting by Matthew Luxmoore at the Wall Street Journal (WSJ) prompted a deeper look into how far the Kremlin has reshaped Russia’s education system for long-term militarization. His work highlights a trend that has accelerated significantly since the invasion of Ukraine in 2022, and after reviewing additional sources, the picture that emerges is sharper and more concerning than a single article can capture.

    A Systematic Shift Since 2014

    Russia’s patriotic education initiatives began expanding after the annexation of Crimea, but the scale shifted significantly following the 2022 invasion. Federal spending grew from roughly $40 million in 2021 to nearly $600 million by 2024, supporting curriculum rewrites, school-based training programs, and the proliferation of state-run youth organizations.

    New standardized history and civics textbooks portray the US and NATO as direct threats and depict Ukraine as a Western proxy. Tactical training equipment and mock Kalashnikov rifles have been distributed to thousands of schools. In many regions, these activities are now compulsory, not extracurricular.

    Youth participants in military training exercises, equipped with camouflage uniforms and training equipment, highlighting the integration of militarization in Russian education. Source: Jamestown

    Education as a Mobilization Pipeline

    The Defense Ministry’s Youth Army (Yunarmiya), established in 2016, now claims more than 1.8 million members. It operates as a nationwide cadet network that integrates students into military culture early and maintains engagement through adolescence.

    Active-duty personnel increasingly teach in classrooms, leading instruction on weapons safety, basic first aid, drone operation fundamentals, and military discipline. By eighth grade, these courses resemble structured pre-conscription preparation. In occupied Ukrainian regions, Russia has imposed these same curricula while removing Ukrainian-language materials.

    Map showing the assessed control of terrain in the Russo-Ukrainian War as of November 14, 2025, highlighting significant fighting areas and territorial claims. Source: Institute for the Study of War

    Strategic Messaging

    The Kremlin frames these programs as tools for national unity and resilience. Critics inside Russia describe them as mechanisms for suppressing dissent and reducing independent thought. Teachers who resist implementation face administrative penalties or prosecution, underscoring the coercive nature of the effort.

    While patriotism in Russian schools is not new, the current approach is more centralized, more compulsory, and more explicitly linked to real-world conflict. The expansion into early childhood (down to the first years of primary school) represents a significant change from previous decades.

    Information Environment Pressures

    A key driver appears to be the changing information landscape. Russian youth have greater exposure to Western media, global online discourse, and alternative political viewpoints than previous generations. Surveys consistently show that younger Russians are the least aligned with Kremlin narratives and the most likely to bypass state information controls.

    This environment has prompted more aggressive ideological programming. Early-age indoctrination is used to establish state-approved narratives before outside information becomes accessible.

    Implications for Future Confrontation

    Taken together, these developments suggest deliberate social preparation for long-term geopolitical tension with the West. Russia is not only modernizing its armed forces; it is shaping future generations to accept sustained confrontation and large-scale mobilization as normal.

    This generational strategy will influence Russia’s military posture, information operations, and cyber workforce for years to come. For the US and allied nations, it suggests a security environment where societal militarization becomes a persistent feature of Russia’s strategic behavior.

    But let me know your thoughts!

  • US Intelligence Support Amplifies Ukraine’s Deep Strike Campaign On Russian Energy Infrastructure

    A recent Financial Times report revealed that the US has quietly provided intelligence support to enable Ukraine’s long-range strikes on Russian energy infrastructure, representing a significant evolution in the strategic landscape of the war. This isn’t just about Ukraine landing successful drone or missile strikes. It’s about deliberately going after the economic base that keeps Russia’s war machine running.

    According to the reporting, US intelligence has played a central role in shaping Ukraine’s route planning, timing, and target prioritization. This has allowed Ukrainian forces to bypass layers of Russian air defense and strike energy assets far beyond the frontline. Over the last few months, at least 16 of Russia’s 38 oil refineries have been hit, disrupting more than one million barrels per day of refining capacity. These strikes have forced Moscow to cut diesel exports and rely more on imports, tightening supply chains across sectors vital to its economy and military.

    Flames and smoke rise from a Russian oil refinery after a Ukrainian drone strike in October 2025, part of a US-backed campaign targeting energy infrastructure. Source: The Moscow Times

    The operation points to a deliberate shift in US strategy. Rather than direct military engagement, the US appears to be enabling Ukraine to impose economic costs through precision strikes on energy infrastructure. These assets are crucial to financing and sustaining Russian military operations. By degrading this capacity, Ukraine is eroding the Kremlin’s ability to wage a prolonged war.

    The timing is notable, too. The escalation in intelligence sharing reportedly followed a July conversation between President Donald Trump and President Volodymyr Zelenskyy, signaling a change in Washington’s willingness to support deeper strikes. This is a departure from earlier caution, signaling a move toward indirect pressure on Moscow, as opposed to direct escalation.

    The operational implications are just as significant. Ukraine has combined improved domestic drone production with high-quality targeting data to achieve strategic effects once reserved for major powers. This model of intelligence-enabled, long-range strikes highlights how modern warfare increasingly relies on precision, adaptability, and economic disruption rather than massed forces alone.

    In the months ahead, Russia is likely to face mounting financial pressure as repeated strikes force expensive repairs, disrupt production cycles, and strain export revenue. Even if individual facilities recover, the cumulative effect of sustained targeting will weaken Moscow’s economic resilience. This campaign is designed to shift the balance through systemic pressure on the Kremlin’s capacity to sustain its war.

    References:
    https://www.ft.com/content/f9f42c10-3a30-4ee1-aff7-3368dd831c8c
    https://www.themoscowtimes.com/2025/10/12/us-intelligence-helps-ukraine-strike-russian-energy-infrastructure-ft-a90789
    https://www.nytimes.com/2025/10/13/world/europe/ukraine-drones-russia-oil-refineries.html